Manage HR Magazine | Thursday, October 16, 2025
FREMONT, CA: The global economy is facing a supply shock driven by significant supply chain disruptions, escalating inflation, and increasing interest rates.
The ongoing geopolitical situation in Ukraine is increasing shortages of some items, partly due to the enforced sanctions. Despite this, before Russia invaded Ukraine, global commodities prices rose primarily due to supply-chain disruptions caused by the Covid-19 outbreak. The rise in global commodity prices occurred during a period in which US inflation was already elevated.
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The tightening monetary policy primarily drives the US inflation rate; hence, the US economy is anticipated to decelerate. On the other hand, inflation in the EU and Euro area is primarily attributable to short-term volatility in the pricing of significant products and is therefore anticipated to be temporary. Short-term inflation is likely to stay elevated due to the persistence of supply chain concerns and the volatility induced by Ukraine–Russia conflict. Late in 2023, inflation is forecast to fall to the Federal Reserve's medium-term target of 2 percent, while the Euro Area Inflation Rate is projected to decline significantly to 2.9 percent.
The annual inflation rate in Malta increased to 7.4 percent in September 2022, a record high since records began in 1997, according to economic data.
Central Banks are under pressure to hike interest rates and tighten their credit to counteract the growing inflation.
How does inflation affect a company's value?
The buyer's anticipated returns ultimately determine the worth of a firm. The valuation increases as predicted future profits increase.
Inflation's effect on enterprise value is directly proportional to its impact on predicted future cash flows, growth, and business risk. Riskier sectors that are more susceptible to economic and market changes may experience more significant increases in their equity costs than more stable industries. On the other hand, enterprises with considerable, consistent earnings and low debt levels can withstand inflation and have greater purchasing power.
Typically, corporate valuations are based on performance measures such as EBITDA and EBIT. Therefore, if cost increases cannot be passed on to customers, this would negatively influence the company's EBITDA/EBIT and, consequently, it's value.
Although the current environment is challenging for businesses, some activities may be taken, such as introducing pricing strategies to offset cost increases with price increases, improving corporate operations with digitalization procedures and sustainability initiatives, etc.
Financial instability, inflation, and rising interest rates negatively influence an enterprise's valuation.
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